From a protocol perspective, takeaway #5 from the AI index report 2024 caught my attention:
- Robust and standardized evaluations for LLM responsibility are seriously lacking.
New research from the AI Index reveals a significant lack of standardization in responsible AI reporting. Leading developers, including OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic, primarily test their models against different responsible AI benchmarks. This practice complicates efforts to systematically compare the risks and limitations of top AI models
My take:
Pattern: The Paradox of Powerful Technologies
Throughout history, the most powerful technologies have often been double-edged swords, offering tremendous potential benefits alongside significant risks. In the early days of the nuclear power industry, the promise of clean, abundant energy led to a rapid proliferation of nuclear power plants, often without adequate safety protocols. Only after high-profile accidents like Three Mile Island and Chernobyl did the need for robust safety standards and international cooperation become fully apparent.
Weak Signal: The Rise of “AI Nationalism”
Just as the early nuclear era saw a race between nations to develop nuclear capabilities, the current AI boom risks giving rise to a form of “AI nationalism” – a competition between countries to achieve dominance in AI technology, potentially at the expense of safety, ethics, and international cooperation. This could lead to a fragmented and inconsistent approach to AI governance, with different nations pursuing their own agendas and standards.
Counter-Signal: The “Digital Dark Ages”
Regulatory failure or regulatory capture could lead to societal dependence on opaque and complex AI systems. This might result in a loss of skills, knowledge, and critical thinking, echoing the decline in many areas of knowledge during the historical Dark Ages. Concentrating power and knowledge in a few entities or systems could hinder progress and innovation, potentially requiring a “re-discovery” of knowledge in the future.
How might a stronger emphasis on protocolization help address these challenges? What protocols might be necessary to promote international cooperation, maintain transparency, and safeguard against the concentration of power in the hands of a few?